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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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  vs.

BARWELL vs. ALVECHURCH
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Barwell's and Alvechurch's ELO scores.


  Barwell   Alvechurch  
  Current ELO Score: 2854.3   2772.5  
  Best ELO Score: 3010.2  
Saturday, February 16, 2013  
2998.6  
Friday, April 19, 2019  
  Worst ELO Score: 2765.1  
Saturday, September 6, 2014  
2762.7  
Tuesday, September 29, 2020  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Barwell and Alvechurch.

 Venue Played Barwell
wins
Draws Alvechurch
wins
Barwell
goals
Alvechurch
goals
Barwell
SR%
Alvechurch
SR%
 TOTAL 11 2 5 4 20 23 40.9% 59.1%
 HOME 6 1 3 2 7 12 41.7% 58.3%
 AWAY 5 1 2 2 13 11 40.0% 60.0%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
6 JAN 2024 CONF Barwell  
(2902)  
2 - 2   Alvechurch
  (2819)
3.3
12 SEP 2023 CONF Alvechurch  
(2872)  
4 - 4   Barwell
  (2926)
0.5
21 MAR 2023 CONF Alvechurch  
(2906)  
2 - 1   Barwell
  (2917)
9.3
27 AUG 2022 CONF Barwell  
(2823)  
1 - 1   Alvechurch
  (2959)
2.8
19 FEB 2022 CONF Barwell  
(2859)  
1 - 1   Alvechurch
  (2894)
0.1
23 OCT 2021 CONF Alvechurch  
(2838)  
2 - 1   Barwell
  (2878)
10
6 OCT 2020 CONF Barwell  
(2931)  
0 - 5   Alvechurch
  (2763)
30.7
11 JAN 2020 CONF Barwell  
(2924)  
2 - 1   Alvechurch
  (2859)
7.1
13 AUG 2019 CONF Alvechurch  
(2965)  
2 - 2   Barwell
  (2886)
3.3
26 MAR 2019 CONF Alvechurch  
(2973)  
1 - 5   Barwell
  (2879)
25.7
6 OCT 2018 CONF Barwell  
(2937)  
1 - 2   Alvechurch
  (2926)
11.5