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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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  vs.

CHELTENHAM TOWN vs. HEREFORD
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Cheltenham Town's and Hereford's ELO scores.


  Cheltenham Town   Hereford  
  Current ELO Score: 3550.9   3083.4  
  Best ELO Score: 3641.4  
Tuesday, November 23, 2021  
3777.9  
Saturday, September 4, 1976  
  Worst ELO Score: 3268  
Saturday, April 25, 1992  
2756.8  
Friday, December 26, 2014  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Cheltenham Town and Hereford.

 Venue Played Cheltenham Town
wins
Draws Hereford
wins
Cheltenham Town
goals
Hereford
goals
Cheltenham Town
SR%
Hereford
SR%
 TOTAL 14 2 6 6 15 22 35.7% 64.3%
 HOME 7 0 3 4 6 12 21.4% 78.6%
 AWAY 7 2 3 2 9 10 50.0% 50.0%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
11 DEC 2012 CUP Hereford United  
(3411)  
1 - 2   Cheltenham Town
  (3564)
3.5
3 DEC 2012 CUP Cheltenham Town  
(3557)  
1 - 1   Hereford United
  (3398)
2.6
11 FEB 2012 LGE Hereford United  
(3432)  
1 - 1   Cheltenham Town
  (3572)
2.7
24 SEP 2011 LGE Cheltenham Town  
(3440)  
0 - 0   Hereford United
  (3419)
1.9
12 FEB 2011 LGE Cheltenham Town  
(3490)  
0 - 3   Hereford United
  (3459)
21.3
13 NOV 2010 LGE Hereford United  
(3439)  
1 - 1   Cheltenham Town
  (3482)
0.1
2 MAR 2010 LGE Cheltenham Town   
(3453)  
0 - 1   Hereford United
  (3445)
11.5
15 AUG 2009 LGE Hereford United  
(3504)  
1 - 1   Cheltenham Town
  (3537)
0.3
14 FEB 2009 LGE Cheltenham Town   
(3521)  
2 - 3   Hereford United
  (3564)
10.1
15 NOV 2008 LGE Hereford United   
(3568)  
3 - 0   Cheltenham Town
  (3537)
13.6
9 MAR 1999 CONF Cheltenham Town  
(3555)  
2 - 2   Hereford United
  (3366)
6.3
20 FEB 1999 CONF Hereford United  
(3396)  
0 - 2   Cheltenham Town
  (3548)
11.4
13 APR 1998 CONF Cheltenham Town  
(3448)  
1 - 2   Hereford United
  (3471)
11.2
25 AUG 1997 CONF Hereford United  
(3429)  
3 - 2   Cheltenham Town
  (3391)
7.2