Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
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STEVENAGE vs. EXETER CITY
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Stevenage vs. Exeter City.
Venue | Wins for equivalent team to Stevenage (ELO score: 3650) |
Draws | Wins for equivalent team to Exeter City (ELO score: 3642) |
---|---|---|---|
TOTAL | 0 | 3 | 2 |
Home | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Away | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 JAN 2022 | LGE | Lincoln City (3650) |
1 - 2 | Burton Albion (3642) |
11.3 |
11 NOV 1995 | CUP | AFC Bournemouth (3642) |
0 - 0 | Bristol City (3650) |
0.9 |
8 APR 1995 | LGE | Bradford City (3650) |
1 - 2 | Stockport County (3642) |
12.2 |
1 OCT 1960 | LGE | Reading (3642) |
1 - 1 | Bristol City (3650) |
2.7 |
20 OCT 1920 | LGE | Exeter City (3650) |
0 - 0 | Southend United (3642) |
3.4 |
A historical comparison of Stevenage's and Exeter City's ELO scores.
Stevenage | Exeter City | |
---|---|---|
Current ELO Score: | 3650 | 3642 |
Best ELO Score: | 3756.5 Tuesday, October 23, 2012 |
3777.5 Saturday, January 28, 1933 |
Worst ELO Score: | 3300.5 Thursday, December 26, 2002 |
3318.8 Saturday, August 12, 1995 |
A summary of all historical matches between Stevenage and Exeter City.
Venue | Played | Stevenage wins |
Draws | Exeter City wins |
Stevenage goals |
Exeter City goals |
Stevenage SR% |
Exeter City SR% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TOTAL | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 28 | 45 | 34.4% | 65.6% |
HOME | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 46.7% | 53.3% |
AWAY | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | 23.5% | 76.5% |
Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 APR 2024 | LGE | Exeter City (3617) |
1 - 0 | Stevenage (3653) |
10 |
16 DEC 2023 | LGE | Stevenage (3682) |
1 - 1 | Exeter City (3552) |
4.5 |
29 AUG 2023 | CUP | Exeter City (3667) |
1 - 1 | Stevenage (3608) |
1.3 |
26 MAR 2022 | LGE | Exeter City (3606) |
2 - 1 | Stevenage (3404) |
4 |
9 OCT 2021 | LGE | Stevenage (3477) |
2 - 2 | Exeter City (3556) |
1.2 |
2 FEB 2021 | LGE | Stevenage (3408) |
0 - 1 | Exeter City (3542) |
7.4 |
23 JAN 2021 | LGE | Exeter City (3564) |
3 - 1 | Stevenage (3403) |
7.2 |
8 FEB 2020 | LGE | Exeter City (3562) |
2 - 1 | Stevenage (3413) |
5.1 |
10 AUG 2019 | LGE | Stevenage (3514) |
0 - 1 | Exeter City (3542) |
10.3 |
22 APR 2019 | LGE | Stevenage (3506) |
1 - 1 | Exeter City (3524) |
0.7 |
2 OCT 2018 | LGE | Exeter City (3594) |
1 - 0 | Stevenage (3496) |
6.2 |
28 APR 2018 | LGE | Stevenage (3461) |
3 - 1 | Exeter City (3571) |
18 |
16 DEC 2017 | LGE | Exeter City (3543) |
2 - 1 | Stevenage (3493) |
7.5 |
18 FEB 2017 | LGE | Exeter City (3586) |
1 - 1 | Stevenage (3507) |
3.2 |
24 SEP 2016 | LGE | Stevenage (3467) |
0 - 2 | Exeter City (3479) |
16 |
27 FEB 2016 | LGE | Stevenage (3465) |
0 - 2 | Exeter City (3484) |
15.8 |
11 OCT 2015 | LGE | Exeter City (3512) |
3 - 3 | Stevenage (3481) |
2 |
17 MAR 2015 | LGE | Exeter City (3493) |
0 - 0 | Stevenage (3557) |
0.7 |
20 DEC 2014 | LGE | Stevenage (3497) |
1 - 0 | Exeter City (3538) |
10 |
3 MAR 2012 | LGE | Exeter City (3583) |
1 - 1 | Stevenage (3720) |
2.6 |
6 AUG 2011 | LGE | Stevenage (3618) |
0 - 0 | Exeter City (3664) |
0 |
5 APR 2008 | CONF | Stevenage Borough (3433) |
0 - 1 | Exeter City (3457) |
10.7 |
2 FEB 2008 | CONF | Exeter City (3467) |
4 - 0 | Stevenage Borough (3462) |
15.8 |
10 NOV 2007 | CUP | Exeter City (3439) |
4 - 0 | Stevenage Borough (3458) |
8.6 |
21 APR 2007 | CONF | Stevenage Borough (3432) |
0 - 0 | Exeter City (3451) |
1 |
23 SEP 2006 | CONF | Exeter City (3427) |
1 - 1 | Stevenage Borough (3397) |
2.3 |
14 MAR 2006 | CONF | Exeter City (3440) |
0 - 2 | Stevenage Borough (3445) |
17.2 |
20 SEP 2005 | CONF | Stevenage Borough (3470) |
2 - 0 | Exeter City (3558) |
16.4 |
11 DEC 2004 | CONF | Stevenage Borough (3410) |
3 - 2 | Exeter City (3469) |
10 |
18 SEP 2004 | CONF | Exeter City (3456) |
2 - 0 | Stevenage Borough (3424) |
11.1 |
29 NOV 2003 | CONF | Stevenage Borough (3448) |
2 - 2 | Exeter City (3493) |
0.4 |
6 SEP 2003 | CONF | Exeter City (3427) |
1 - 0 | Stevenage Borough (3445) |
8.8 |